Why are my welcome series email open rates suddenly dropping?

Summary

A sudden drop in welcome series email open rates is a multifaceted problem stemming from list hygiene, content relevance, sending practices, technical configurations, subscriber acquisition changes, and design. Poor list quality (old, unvalidated emails, high bounce rates), irrelevant content (spam triggers, mismatched expectations), aggressive sending (too frequent, shared IP), technical issues (authentication failures, lack of IP warming, low reputation), changes in subscriber demographics, and poor design all contribute to reduced engagement. Addressing these factors through regular audits, tailored content, optimized sending, correct technical setup, and design improvements is critical.

Key findings

  • List Quality: Old lists, unvalidated emails, high bounce/spam rates, and changes in acquisition impacting audience quality degrade deliverability.
  • Content Relevance: Irrelevant offers, spam triggers, mismatched expectations, and lack of engaging subject lines decrease opens.
  • Sending Practices: High frequency, shared IPs, sending unwanted emails, and lack of a separate welcome program harm engagement.
  • Technical Issues: Authentication problems (SPF, DKIM, DMARC), IP warming neglect, low sender reputation, and improper protocol configuration reduce inbox placement.
  • Subscriber Acquisition: Shifts in demographics without tailored content impact engagement.
  • Design & Usability: Poor email design hinders value perception and reduces opens.
  • Filtering Algorithms: Changes to Mailbox provider algorithms can impact open rates.

Key considerations

  • List Hygiene: Regularly validate emails, remove inactives, and monitor bounce/complaint rates.
  • Content Optimization: Tailor content to audience, avoid spam triggers, and A/B test subject lines.
  • Sending Strategy: Control frequency, warm up IPs, segment lists, and offer preference options.
  • Technical Setup: Correctly configure authentication, monitor reputation, manage feedback loops, and secure protocols.
  • Segmentation & Personalization: Adjust content based on subscriber demographics and interests.
  • Design Enhancement: Optimize for mobile, ensure readability, and improve visual appeal.
  • Deliverability Tracking: Monitor deliverability across all major providers.

What email marketers say
14Marketer opinions

A sudden drop in welcome series email open rates can be attributed to various factors, including issues with list hygiene (validation, age), content relevance (irrelevant offers, spam trigger words, mismatched expectations), sending practices (frequency, shared IP), subscriber acquisition (demographic shifts), technical issues (authentication, deliverability), and design aspects. It's crucial to investigate and address these areas to improve engagement.

Key opinions

  • List Hygiene: Old or unvalidated email lists, and past campaigns with high bounce rates, can negatively impact sender reputation and deliverability.
  • Content Relevance: Irrelevant content, spam trigger words, uninteresting offers, or a mismatch between subscriber expectations and email content can lead to disengagement.
  • Sending Practices: Sending too many emails too quickly, sharing an IP with other senders, and sending a new weekly email without subscriber consent can overwhelm subscribers and harm open rates.
  • Subscriber Acquisition: Changes in acquisition strategies or subscriber demographics can lead to lower engagement if the welcome series is not appropriately tailored.
  • Technical Issues: Problems with email authentication (SPF, DKIM, DMARC), IP warming, or inbox provider filtering algorithms can prevent emails from reaching the inbox.
  • Design and Usability: Poor email design or usability issues can make it difficult for subscribers to find value in the email, leading to lower open rates.

Key considerations

  • List Audit: Regularly validate your email list and remove inactive or unengaged subscribers.
  • Content Alignment: Ensure your welcome series content is relevant, engaging, and aligns with subscriber expectations. Avoid spam trigger words.
  • Sending Frequency: Monitor email frequency and avoid overwhelming new subscribers with too many emails too soon. Provide subscribers with preferences to manage their subscriptions.
  • Segmentation: Segment your audience and tailor your welcome series to different subscriber demographics and interests.
  • Technical Setup: Verify your email authentication setup (SPF, DKIM, DMARC) and monitor your sender reputation. Consider warming up your IP address if you are sending a large volume of emails.
  • Email Design: Optimize your email design for readability, mobile-friendliness, and visual appeal. Ensure your emails are easy to scan and provide clear calls to action.
  • A/B Testing: A/B test subject lines and content, and experiment with different approaches and change the wording to be something of interest to subscribers.
Marketer view

Email marketer from Talking Shrimp explains that a drop in open rates can be due to sending too many emails too soon. If subscribers are bombarded with emails right after subscribing, they might get overwhelmed and disengage, leading to lower open rates.

June 2024 - Talking Shrimp
Marketer view

Email marketer from Email Geeks suggests setting up a welcome program that differs from regular content for new subscribers and ensuring new subscribers don't receive the regular newsletter until completing the welcome program.

December 2023 - Email Geeks
Marketer view

Email marketer from Email Geeks questions whether users asked to receive a new weekly email, suggesting that additional volume might affect engagement.

September 2022 - Email Geeks
Marketer view

Email marketer from Email Geeks asks if email addresses are validated before sending and if there were past campaigns with bounce or complaint spikes, to assess list hygiene.

March 2025 - Email Geeks
Marketer view

Email marketer from Email on Acid explains that a sudden shift in subscriber demographics (e.g., due to a change in acquisition strategy) can lead to lower engagement if the welcome series is not tailored to the new audience.

August 2023 - Email on Acid
Marketer view

Email marketer from Email Geeks suggests checking for specific domains with lower opens to investigate if a particular inbox provider is the issue.

September 2022 - Email Geeks
Marketer view

Email marketer from Reddit shares that the use of spam trigger words or phrases in the subject line or email body can lead to emails landing in the spam folder, causing a drop in open rates. Review your content for potential triggers.

March 2024 - Reddit
Marketer view

Email marketer from Litmus responds that poor email design can lead to subscribers not finding value in the email which can cause low open rates. Ensure your email is easy to read, mobile-friendly, and visually appealing.

December 2021 - Litmus
Marketer view

Email marketer from Email Geeks says that being on a shared IP could result in deliverability issues due to the actions of other senders.

January 2022 - Email Geeks
Marketer view

Email marketer from Quora responds that subscribers are not interested in the offer and the wording needs to change. If the open rates are low subscribers do not see the value in the emails that are being sent.

August 2023 - Quora
Marketer view

Email marketer from Email Geeks asks about the event triggering the campaign and if there have been trends in bounces or complaints prior to the decrease in opens, seeking to identify potential causes.

April 2023 - Email Geeks
Marketer view

Email marketer from Fix Your Funnel explains that irrelevant content in welcome emails can cause disengagement. Ensure that the content aligns with what the subscriber expected when they signed up, or they might lose interest.

October 2024 - Fix Your Funnel
Marketer view

Email marketer from Digital Information World says to check your email list if it is old. If the email list is old, then it may be full of dead emails and subscribers may have forgotten who you are. This causes low open rates.

May 2024 - Digital Information World
Marketer view

Email marketer from Email Marketing Forum suggests that subject lines could be the problem and subscribers are not interested. A/B testing subject lines and changing wording to something that might interest them is a good idea.

January 2025 - Email Marketing Forum

What the experts say
4Expert opinions

Sudden drops in welcome series open rates can stem from issues with subscriber acquisition changes, list quality, authentication problems, and mailbox provider filtering algorithm updates. Thorough investigation into subscriber acquisition changes, content relevance, authentication protocols (DMARC), and monitoring deliverability metrics across various providers is crucial to identify and address the root cause.

Key opinions

  • Acquisition Changes: Changes to acquisition source, methods, or volume can impact audience quality and, consequently, open rates.
  • List Quality & Content: A rise in spam complaints or a decline in engagement metrics suggests problems with list quality or the relevance of your content.
  • Authentication Issues: Changes or misconfigurations in authentication, especially DMARC policies, can negatively affect email delivery and inbox placement.
  • Filtering Algorithms: Mailbox providers frequently update their filtering algorithms, which can affect inbox placement even if sending practices remain unchanged.

Key considerations

  • Analyze Acquisition: Evaluate recent changes in subscriber acquisition methods to assess whether the audience quality has shifted.
  • Review Content & List: Examine your email content for relevance and appeal, and ensure your subscriber list is clean and engaged.
  • Monitor DMARC: Regularly check your DMARC records and reports to ensure proper configuration and address any authentication failures.
  • Track Deliverability: Monitor deliverability metrics across different mailbox providers to identify any specific issues with certain providers and adapt accordingly.
Expert view

Expert from Email Geeks asks about changes to acquisition source or methods, and changes in acquisition volume, to understand if audience quality impacts open rates.

July 2024 - Email Geeks
Expert view

Expert from Word to the Wise shares that changes in authentication, particularly DMARC policies, can impact email delivery. Check your DMARC records and reports to ensure proper configuration and identify any authentication failures that might be affecting inbox placement.

July 2024 - Word to the Wise
Expert view

Expert from Spam Resource explains that sudden open rate drops can occur due to changes in mailbox provider filtering algorithms. These changes can impact where your email lands, even if your sending practices have remained consistent. Monitor your deliverability across different providers to identify any specific issues.

December 2022 - Spam Resource
Expert view

Expert from Word to the Wise explains that a sudden increase in spam complaints or a drop in engagement metrics (opens, clicks) indicates a potential problem with list quality or content relevance. Investigate recent changes in your subscriber acquisition methods or email content to identify the cause.

February 2022 - Word to the Wise

What the documentation says
5Technical articles

Sudden drops in welcome series open rates can be attributed to technical issues related to email authentication, IP warming, sender reputation, spam complaints, and email protocol configurations. Properly configuring authentication records, gradually warming up IP addresses, maintaining a good sender reputation, monitoring and addressing spam complaints, and ensuring correct email protocol setup are critical for deliverability.

Key findings

  • Authentication: Misconfigured or missing email authentication records (SPF, DKIM, DMARC) can prevent emails from reaching the inbox.
  • IP Warming: A sudden increase in send volume without properly warming up the IP address can negatively impact sender reputation.
  • Sender Reputation: Low sender reputation, especially with Gmail, can drastically affect inbox placement.
  • Spam Complaints: High spam complaint rates from Outlook and Hotmail users can severely damage sender reputation.
  • Email Protocols: Incorrectly configured email protocols can lead to security risks and deliverability issues.

Key considerations

  • Authentication Check: Verify that your email authentication records (SPF, DKIM, DMARC) are correctly configured.
  • IP Warming Strategy: If sending a large volume of emails from a new IP address, implement a gradual IP warming strategy.
  • Reputation Monitoring: Monitor your sender reputation using tools like Google Postmaster Tools.
  • Complaint Management: Monitor feedback loops and promptly remove subscribers who complain about spam.
  • Protocol Configuration: Ensure that your email protocols are correctly set up and secure.
Technical article

Documentation from Microsoft explains that having a high spam complaint rate from Outlook and Hotmail users can severely damage your sender reputation. Monitor feedback loops and promptly remove complaining subscribers.

January 2022 - Microsoft
Technical article

Documentation from RFC explains issues with email protocols. It is important to have the correct protocols set up. If they are not this can cause security risks.

April 2022 - RFC
Technical article

Documentation from Mailchimp explains that changes to email authentication (SPF, DKIM, DMARC) can affect deliverability. If authentication records are misconfigured or missing, emails might not reach the inbox.

September 2022 - Mailchimp
Technical article

Documentation from SendGrid shares that a sudden increase in send volume without warming up the IP address can negatively impact sender reputation, causing emails to be filtered as spam. Gradual ramp-up is crucial.

October 2022 - SendGrid
Technical article

Documentation from Google Postmaster Tools explains that low sender reputation with Gmail can drastically affect inbox placement. Monitor your reputation using Postmaster Tools to identify potential issues.

June 2023 - Google

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