Why are Gmail bounce rates suddenly increasing?

Summary

A sudden increase in Gmail bounce rates is typically multi-faceted. Issues can range from technical aspects like DKIM replay attacks, domain authentication problems (SPF, DKIM, DMARC failures), and blacklisting to content-related triggers and changes in Gmail's spam filtering algorithms. Problems with sending infrastructure, exceeding sending limits, and poor sender reputation all contribute. Critical areas needing attention include email list hygiene (invalid addresses, spam traps), relevance of content (irrelevant sending, use of spam trigger words), and email design and rendering across clients. Monitoring sender reputation, bounce codes, and engaging in proactive list cleaning and authentication configuration are paramount for resolving the issue.

Key findings

  • DKIM Replay & Auth: DKIM replay attacks and broader authentication failures are key technical factors.
  • Spam Filters: Gmail's spam filters and algorithms might have been updated.
  • Poor Reputation: A decline in sender reputation directly correlates with increased bounces.
  • List Hygiene: Poor email list hygiene, including spam traps and invalid addresses, is a significant driver of bounces.
  • Content & Design: Problematic email content (spam trigger words) and poor design choices contribute to deliverability issues.
  • Blacklist Status: Being blacklisted severely increases bounce rates.

Key considerations

  • Monitor Tools: Leverage Google Postmaster Tools to monitor sender reputation and delivery metrics.
  • Authentication Checks: Thoroughly check and validate SPF, DKIM, and DMARC configurations.
  • List Management: Regularly clean email lists; implement double opt-in processes to avoid spam traps.
  • Content Optimization: Optimize email content, avoiding spam trigger words and ensuring proper rendering across different clients.
  • Engagement Focus: Focus on increasing engagement metrics (open rates, click-through rates) to improve sender reputation.
  • Sending Practices: Review sending practices including IP warming to align with best practices
  • Investigate bounce types: Investigate the reasons for different bounce types and adjust your strategy

What email marketers say
14Marketer opinions

A sudden increase in Gmail bounce rates can stem from several factors. These include changes in Gmail's spam filtering algorithms, especially concerning sender reputation and engagement; sending volume without proper IP warming; issues with DKIM replay attacks; and problems related to forwarded mail. Technical aspects such as domain reputation, email authentication (SPF, DKIM, DMARC), and blacklisting play a significant role. Additionally, changes in email content, poor list hygiene (invalid addresses, spam traps), inadequate email design/rendering, shifts in sending infrastructure, and lack of list segmentation contribute to higher bounce rates. Proactive monitoring of sender reputation and implementing best practices for email authentication, list hygiene, and content creation are essential for maintaining deliverability.

Key opinions

  • Algorithm Changes: Gmail's spam filtering algorithms may have changed, impacting sender reputation.
  • IP Warming: Sudden spikes in sending volume without warming up IP addresses can trigger flags.
  • DKIM Replay: Affected domains might be victims of DKIM replay attacks.
  • Forwarded Mail: Forwarded mail is experiencing the greatest impact.
  • Authentication: Email authentication (SPF, DKIM, DMARC) misconfigurations or failures can increase bounces.
  • List Hygiene: Poor list hygiene (invalid addresses, spam traps) contributes to bounce rates.
  • Content Triggers: Changes in email content or the use of spam trigger words can lead to higher bounces.
  • Sender Reputation: A decline in sender reputation can cause emails to be marked as spam.
  • List Segmentation: Lack of list segmentation results in irrelevant emails, low engagement, and increased spam complaints.
  • Infrastructure Changes: Recent changes in sending infrastructure can lead to higher bounces as Gmail learns new patterns.

Key considerations

  • Monitor Reputation: Actively monitor sender reputation using tools like Google Postmaster Tools.
  • Verify Authentication: Ensure proper email authentication (SPF, DKIM, DMARC) is in place and correctly configured.
  • Clean Lists: Regularly clean email lists to remove invalid or inactive addresses and spam traps; implement double opt-in.
  • Review Content: Review email templates to avoid spam trigger words, suspicious links, and ensure proper rendering.
  • Warm Up IPs: If increasing sending volume, gradually warm up IP addresses to establish trust.
  • Segment Audiences: Segment email lists to send relevant content and improve engagement.
  • Design for Engagement: Ensure email design is mobile-friendly and renders correctly across various email clients to maximize engagement.
  • Investigate Blocklists: Check if your sending IPs or domains are on any major blacklists.
Marketer view

Email marketer from StackExchange suggests checking the sender's domain reputation and ensuring proper email authentication (SPF, DKIM, DMARC) are in place, as Gmail often tightens its security measures to combat spam.

August 2023 - StackExchange
Marketer view

Email marketer from Reddit highlights the importance of list segmentation. Sending irrelevant emails to subscribers can lead to low engagement and increased spam complaints, ultimately impacting your sender reputation and increasing bounce rates.

March 2023 - Reddit
Marketer view

Email marketer from MessageBird (formerly SparkPost) shares that if you recently changed your sending infrastructure, it can lead to a sudden increase in bounces as Gmail needs to learn the new sending patterns and establish trust.

August 2022 - MessageBird
Marketer view

Email marketer from Mailchimp shares that sudden increases in bounces might indicate a problem with your email list hygiene. They recommend regularly cleaning your list to remove invalid or inactive addresses.

August 2022 - Mailchimp
Marketer view

Email marketer from ZeroBounce explains that sending emails to spam traps will seriously damage your sender reputation and increase bounce rates. Implement a double opt-in process and regularly clean your email list to avoid hitting spam traps.

April 2022 - ZeroBounce
Marketer view

Email marketer from Reddit suggests that a sudden increase in Gmail bounces could be due to changes in Gmail's spam filtering algorithms, especially if the sender's reputation has recently been affected by low engagement or spam complaints.

June 2024 - Reddit
Marketer view

Email marketer from Email Marketing Forum notes that a common cause is a sudden spike in sending volume without properly warming up the IP address, leading Gmail to flag the emails as potentially unwanted.

February 2025 - Email Marketing Forum
Marketer view

Marketer from Email Geeks shares they are seeing it in a limited scope and early patterns indicate affected domains were recently DKIM replay victims.

August 2024 - Email Geeks
Marketer view

Marketer from Email Geeks shares that the greatest impact is against forwarded mail.

October 2022 - Email Geeks
Marketer view

Email marketer from SendGrid explains that changes in email content can trigger spam filters, leading to higher bounce rates. Review your recent email templates and avoid using spam trigger words or suspicious links.

December 2024 - SendGrid
Marketer view

Email marketer from Hubspot suggests that if your sender reputation has declined recently, your email may be more likely to be marked as spam. Focus on improving engagement metrics like open rates and click-through rates.

January 2025 - Hubspot
Marketer view

Marketer from Email Geeks shares that they are seeing similar issues, with bounce rates significantly higher than normal.

December 2023 - Email Geeks
Marketer view

Email marketer from Litmus explains that poor email design and rendering issues can lead to low engagement and increased spam complaints. Ensure your emails are mobile-friendly and render correctly across different email clients.

December 2023 - Litmus
Marketer view

Marketer from Email Geeks shares an example of a bounce message they are seeing: 550-5.7.1 [xx.xx.xx.xx] Our system has detected that this message is likely unsolicited mail.

March 2022 - Email Geeks

What the experts say
3Expert opinions

Increased Gmail bounce rates can be attributed to a combination of factors impacting deliverability. These include poor list hygiene, authentication issues, problematic email content, questionable sending practices, infrastructure problems, and lack of monitoring. Being blocklisted by a major Real-time Blackhole List (RBL) significantly increases hard bounces. Maintaining a clean email list, ensuring proper authentication, sending relevant content, and avoiding blacklists are key to improving deliverability and reducing bounce rates.

Key opinions

  • Holistic Approach: Improving bounce rates requires a holistic approach encompassing list hygiene, authentication, content, and sending practices.
  • Blocklist Impact: Being blocklisted directly and negatively impacts bounce rates, particularly hard bounces.
  • Multiple Factors: Several factors contribute to poor deliverability, including authentication issues, poor list hygiene, irrelevant content, and low engagement.

Key considerations

  • Comprehensive Review: Conduct a comprehensive review of all aspects of your email program, including list hygiene, authentication, content, and sending practices.
  • Blacklist Monitoring: Regularly check sending IPs and domains against popular blocklists to identify and address any listing issues.
  • Proactive Hygiene: Implement proactive list hygiene practices, such as regular cleaning and opt-in confirmation, to maintain list quality.
  • Authentication Protocols: Ensure proper authentication protocols (SPF, DKIM, DMARC) are in place and correctly configured to verify email legitimacy.
  • Relevance & Engagement: Send relevant content to engaged subscribers to improve deliverability and minimize the risk of bounces.
Expert view

Expert from Spam Resource explains that a number of factors are known to negatively impact deliverability and potentially increase bounces including authentication issues, poor list hygiene, sending irrelevant content, and lacking engagement.

March 2022 - Spam Resource
Expert view

Expert from Word to the Wise explains that the way to avoid the Gmail bulk folder to improve bounce rates is based on list hygiene, authentication, content, sending practices, infrastructure, and monitoring.

April 2023 - Word to the Wise
Expert view

Expert from Word to the Wise explains that bounces, especially hard bounces, are affected by getting blocklisted by a major RBL. She advises checking your sending IPs and domains against popular blocklists.

September 2022 - Word to the Wise

What the documentation says
5Technical articles

Increased Gmail bounce rates are often due to a combination of factors related to sender reputation, authentication, and technical configuration. Google Postmaster Tools highlights sending limits, spam complaints, and email authentication issues. Temporary delivery failures (soft bounces) can result from server issues, while permanent failures (hard bounces) may indicate invalid addresses or policy rejections. Blacklisting and domain spoofing can also contribute. Key actions include monitoring sender metrics, checking authentication records (SPF, DKIM, DMARC), implementing DMARC policies, and addressing any blacklisting issues.

Key findings

  • Google's Metrics: Exceeding sending limits, poor sender reputation, high spam complaints contribute to higher bounces according to Google Postmaster Tools.
  • Bounce Types: Soft bounces indicate temporary issues, while hard bounces suggest permanent failures like invalid addresses.
  • Blacklisting Impact: Being blacklisted can cause a significant surge in bounce rates.
  • Spoofing Protection: Implementing DMARC helps protect against email spoofing and phishing, improving sender reputation.
  • Authentication Issues: Authentication problems cause increased bounces.

Key considerations

  • Monitor Performance: Regularly monitor key sender metrics using Google Postmaster Tools to identify and address any issues.
  • Address Bounce Codes: Carefully review bounce codes to understand the specific reasons for delivery failures.
  • Check Blacklists: Use MXToolbox to check for blacklisting and take appropriate steps to delist your domain or IP address.
  • Implement DMARC: Implement a DMARC policy to monitor and enforce email authentication, protecting your domain from spoofing.
  • Validate Authentication: Verify your SPF, DKIM, and DMARC records are correctly configured and functioning properly to ensure successful email authentication.
Technical article

Documentation from RFC Project highlights that temporary delivery failures (soft bounces) can occur due to temporary server issues or greylisting, while permanent failures (hard bounces) often indicate invalid email addresses or policy rejections. Reviewing bounce codes is critical.

July 2024 - RFC-Project
Technical article

Documentation from MXToolbox explains that blacklisting can cause a surge in bounces. Use MXToolbox to check if your domain or IP is listed on any major blacklists and take steps to delist if necessary.

October 2024 - MXToolbox
Technical article

Documentation from Validity (formerly Return Path) states that domain authentication problems can cause increased bounces - check your SPF, DKIM and DMARC records are set up correctly, and are not failing when tested.

December 2022 - Validity
Technical article

Documentation from DMARC.org emphasizes that implementing DMARC helps protect your domain from email spoofing and phishing attacks, which can improve your sender reputation and reduce bounce rates. They suggest setting up a DMARC policy to monitor and enforce email authentication.

August 2022 - DMARC.org
Technical article

Documentation from Google Postmaster Tools states that increased bounces can be due to exceeding sending limits, poor sender reputation, high spam complaint rates, or issues with email authentication. Google recommends monitoring these metrics in Postmaster Tools.

June 2021 - Google