How accurate are seed lists for email deliverability testing?
Summary
What email marketers say12Marketer opinions
Marketer from Email Geeks explains that many moons ago, they used to run a service for seedlist testing mail delivery trends. They discontinued it after mailbox providers evolved in how they made their inbox/spam decisions based on per recipient choices and those seed lists were no longer representative of how real world emails were delivered.
Email marketer from Reddit explains that seed lists are a starting point, but real-world results can vary due to user engagement and filtering algorithms. They are best used for directional insights, not definitive answers.
Email marketer from GlockApps shares that seed lists can provide a general idea of inbox placement across different mailbox providers, but they are not a definitive measure of deliverability to individual users.
Email marketer from Email on Acid explains that seed list accuracy is affected by factors like the seed accounts' engagement history, IP address reputation, and the email content itself, so results should be interpreted with caution.
Marketer from Email Geeks finds the seed list article somewhat misleading because it’s not rooted in what happens when you hit the general population that has activity. Explains that seeds can definitely have different behavior than real-life, so while they are great indicators, do not put all your eggs into what will ‘beat’ the promotions folder, as there are many articles out there about trying to game the decisioning.
Email marketer from Litmus advises that real-world email testing with a representative sample of your audience is far more reliable than relying solely on seed lists for assessing deliverability.
Email marketer from Stack Overflow states that evaluating seed list data requires caution because mailbox providers continuously update their filtering algorithms, impacting the reliability of seed list results.
Marketer from Email Geeks explains that Google can and will alter their algorithm in their endless pursuit of perfection, so trying to game them is pointless.
Email marketer from Stack Overflow suggests that seed lists are useful for identifying major deliverability issues, but they don't reflect individual user preferences or engagement, reducing their overall accuracy.
Email marketer from Mailtrap Blog explains that seed lists have limitations as mailbox providers evolve and personalize inbox placement decisions, making seed list results less representative of real-world email delivery.
Email marketer from Reddit emphasizes that personalized email filtering makes seed lists less accurate because individual users interact differently with their inboxes. Suggests A/B testing with real users.
Email marketer from SendGrid recommends using a combination of seed lists, feedback loops, and authentication protocols to gain a comprehensive understanding of your email deliverability performance.
What the experts say8Expert opinions
Expert from Email Geeks explains a good thing to spot snake oil is to remember that modern B2C ISPs have a lot of decision making about mail delivery that’s specific to the recipient. States if you're testing delivery to a particular email address, that doesn’t necessarily mean anything about delivery to other email addresses, particularly ones used by real users rather than test or seed addresses, and if you repeatedly send mail to an address that affects the per-recipient decision making for that address, so even if the first and tenth mails to it you send are identical they will be treated differently. Concludes if the article is based on those things not being true, and it doesn’t address those issues, it’s snake oil.
Expert from Email Geeks explains that people have been trying to figure out the Promotions Algorithm for almost a decade now. The fact that we don’t have clear best practices (the way we do with the spam filter) tells you all you need to know about how easy it is to put mail in the tab you want it in.
Expert from Spam Resource (Laura Atkins) explains that while seed lists were useful historically, mailbox provider algorithms have evolved to be more personalized and adaptive, which diminishes the accuracy and representativeness of seed list results.
Expert from Email Geeks explains that broad coverage that a seedlist checker gives can help you see trends, so they’re not entirely useless, but they don’t mean what many users think they mean.
Expert from Word to the Wise highlights that seed lists provide a limited view of deliverability because they don't reflect real user behavior or the constantly changing filtering rules of ISPs. Therefore, they should not be the sole basis for evaluating email campaign success.
Expert from Email Geeks explains that seed lists had decent value at one point, but that time is long past for the consumer providers you care about.
Expert from Email Geeks explains that testing to a personal gmail account that you actually use is likely more useful than testing to a dozen gmail addresses via a commercial seedlist service.
Expert from Email Geeks explains that seed lists run commercially have access and delivery patterns that are _wildly_ different from real users mailboxes and they’ll respond differently to real recipients. States that ISP filter developers years ago mentioned that seed list mailboxes were trivially recognizable and the automation would behave differently.
What the documentation says5Technical articles
Documentation from Microsoft recommends using Smart Network Data Services (SNDS) and the Junk Mail Reporting Program (JMRP) to monitor your IP and domain reputation. These can give a more accurate picture of deliverability problems than seed lists.
Documentation from RFC Editor specifies that SPF (Sender Policy Framework) records should be validated during deliverability testing to ensure proper email authentication, which affects placement.
Documentation from DKIM.org explains that DKIM (DomainKeys Identified Mail) signing is crucial for improving email deliverability and building trust with mailbox providers, impacting seed list results.
Documentation from Google Postmaster Tools indicates that monitoring your sender reputation is essential, as it directly impacts email deliverability and how seed lists perceive your email streams.
Documentation from DMARC.org highlights that DMARC (Domain-based Message Authentication, Reporting & Conformance) policy enforcement helps prevent email spoofing and improves deliverability, which can be reflected in seed list testing.